The Real Economics Behind Black Friday : Strategy, Consumer Psychology, and Market Pressure

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Odile Zanga 24 November 2025
Article: The Real Economics Behind Black Friday : Strategy, Consumer Psychology, and Market Pressure

Every year, Black Friday stands as one of the most influential moments in the global retail calendar.

Yet beyond the massive discounts and viral marketing campaigns, the event has evolved into an economic phenomenon that reveals how businesses adapt to inflation, shifting consumer habits, and rising competition. In 2024–2025, with the cost of living still weighing on households, Black Friday has become a strategic battleground where companies must balance profitability with consumer expectations.

Inflation and the New Consumer Mindset

Over the past two years, inflation has reshaped purchasing behaviour. With higher food prices, rental costs, and interest rates, households have become more selective and more reliant on major discount periods like Black Friday. Companies have responded by adapting their pricing models.

Price reductions today are less about offering extreme deals and more about shaping perception. Many retailers use psychological pricing: discounts calibrated to feel significant even when the actual price change is modest. This shift reflects a broader trend that the Black Friday battle is no longer fought on price alone, but on consumer trust and value signalling.

Profit Without Sacrifice: How Companies Protect Their Margins

Despite the aggressive marketing, most businesses cannot afford to slash margins deeply. Instead, they use strategic techniques to stay profitable:

This shows a truth often overlooked: Black Friday is not designed for companies to lose money. It is designed for them to optimize volume, strengthen customer loyalty, and outperform competitors without compromising financial performance.

E-commerce: The New Center of Gravity

Black Friday has transitioned from an in-store rush to an overwhelmingly digital event. This shift is driven by:

Retailers now prepare months in advance, investing in supply chain efficiency, digital advertising, and real-time analytics. A major challenge remains the high cart abandonment rate online, making user experience and checkout optimization essential tools in winning the Black Friday race.

The Psychology Behind the Spending

Black Friday thrives because it activates powerful psychological triggers:

On platforms like TikTok, Instagram, and YouTube, influencers intensify this effect by sharing “must-buy lists,” reviews, and unboxings. Today, consumers aren’t just buying products; they are buying into a cultural moment.

A Commercial Event Reshaping Global Retail

What once began as a single day of discounts has become a strategic model for modern commerce. Black Friday pushes companies to innovate, rethink pricing strategies, adopt new technologies, and anticipate shifts in consumer sentiment. In a volatile economic environment, the event highlights one fundamental truth: consumers more informed, more intentional, and more price-sensitive drive the direction of the market.

As the lines between marketing, psychology, and economics continue to blur, Black Friday stands not simply as an annual shopping holiday, but as a reflection of how businesses must evolve to survive.